CryptoWatch for AI AgentsHosted MCP

BTC macro intelligence your agent can actually use.

CryptoWatch turns the five decisions humans inspect — Now, Cycle, Money, Macro, and Action — into one machine-readable brief, with deeper evidence, receipts, and invalidation tools behind it. Agents connect through a hosted MCP server authenticated with an access key.

Access mode
Hosted MCP
Endpoint
cryptowatch.id/mcp/
Authentication
Access key

What agents get

A macro layer, not another price endpoint.

Most agent stacks can fetch prices. They still need a disciplined read on cycle phase, macro permission, invalidation, and what would change the thesis. CryptoWatch packages that into compact responses an agent can cite, cache, and turn into work.

Five-decision morning brief

Start here. One current headline plus Now, Cycle, Money, Macro, and Action, with material changes, the operator action, and invalidation.

tool: cw.morning_brief
decisions: 5
output: brief + changes + invalidation

Daily BTC verdict

One consolidated read across cycle, macro, flow, and positioning so an agent can answer whether BTC is risk-on, defensive, or wait-only.

tool: cw.daily_verdict
asset: BTC
format: brief + receipts

Accountability receipts

Every strong call needs a timestamp, confidence, invalidation, and follow-up window. CryptoWatch makes those receipts portable for agent memory.

tool: cw.thesis_receipt
horizon: 7d
include: invalidation

Action bands

Agents can turn the macro read into controlled plans: accumulate, hold, reduce, or no-trade, with price zones and what would flip the call.

tool: cw.action_plan
style: conservative
risk: capped

CW Risk suite

The score is now bundled with valuation quantile bands, social-risk context, DCA stance, and separation evidence when available.

tool: cw.cw_risk_suite
asset: BTC
output: score + companions

Calibration report

A machine-verifiable track record: Brier score, calibration curve, and hit rate so an agent can weight CryptoWatch's read against its own past accuracy.

tool: cw.calibration_report
group_by: model
output: brier + curve

BTC regime state

Where BTC sits in the band-stack regime, from bear through euphoria, gated on NUPL and MVRV-Z so the label stays grounded in on-chain valuation rather than vibes.

tool: cw.regime_state
asset: BTC
output: regime + gates

Strategy (MSTR) mNAV

Strategy read as a leveraged BTC proxy: market cap vs BTC NAV, discount/premium framing, scenario bands, and funding-flywheel health. The ratio and dependent scenarios are withheld when holdings or share count are more than 7 days old.

tool: cw.mstr_mnav
ticker: MSTR
output: mNAV + scenarios

Strategic-DCA backtest

How accumulation strategies actually performed on CryptoWatch's own price history — blind DCA, lump-sum, and Fear-&-Greed-gated DCA, plus an ATR opportunity-window read — shown as evidence, not a promise.

tool: cw.dca_backtest
asset: BTC
output: strategy comparison

Tail-risk register

The structural risks to the thesis: a quantitative tier (miner-fee security, pool concentration, supply) and an attributed expert-opinion tier (Q-Day, ossification) — kept separate, never blended.

tool: cw.tail_risk_register
tiers: quant + expert
output: register

Legacy screen-level read

The earlier six-screen Verdict · Why · Move contract remains available for compatible consumers that still need screen-level detail.

tool: cw.daily_read
screens: 6 legacy
format: verdict · why · move

Connect

Hosted MCP, one API key away.

The agent interface is intentionally boring: a hosted streamable-HTTP MCP server at https://cryptowatch.id/mcp/, protected by a free access key. Create your key, add it to your client, and point the client at the endpoint. In the configuration below, the field is named X-API-Key. Anonymous calls return 401.

MCP client config

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "cw": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://cryptowatch.id/mcp/",
      "headers": {
        "X-API-Key": "cw_YOUR_KEY"
      }
    }
  }
}

Create your free key

# Request a free API key
curl -X POST https://cryptowatch.id/api/public/v1/keys

# Use it on every MCP request
#   transport: streamable-HTTP
#   endpoint:  https://cryptowatch.id/mcp/
#   header:    X-API-Key: cw_YOUR_KEY
# (no key -> 401 Unauthorized)

Subscribe to material changes

# Create a webhook subscription
curl -X POST https://cryptowatch.id/api/public/v1/webhooks \
  -H "X-API-Key: $CRYPTOWATCH_API_KEY" \
  -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
  -d '{"url":"https://example.com/cw","events":["composite.changed"]}'

# List subscriptions and delivery status
curl -H "X-API-Key: $CRYPTOWATCH_API_KEY" \
  https://cryptowatch.id/api/public/v1/webhooks

Stable API contract

# Human guide
https://cryptowatch.id/docs#api

# OpenAPI 3.1
https://cryptowatch.id/api/public/openapi.json

Access

Free API access, permanently.

The hosted MCP is free and rate-limited per API key for abuse control. There are no paid tiers, prepaid credits, payment challenges, or subscription upgrades.

01

Agent asks

The agent starts with cw.morning_brief, then calls a specialist tool only when one decision needs deeper evidence.

02

Calls stay free

The call returns against a rate limit tied to the API key. No charge and no payment challenge.

03

Verdict returns

CryptoWatch returns the macro answer, receipt fields, confidence, invalidation, and next-check trigger in a compact JSON contract.

04

Memory records it

The agent stores the response as a dated market belief instead of blending it into vague chat history.

05

No billing state

Agents never need a wallet, prepaid balance, subscription, or payment receipt to call a hosted tool.

06

Usage stays bounded

API-key rate limits protect service quality without turning access into a paywall.

Dashboard artifacts

The agent sees the same work humans inspect.

CryptoWatch is not selling a black-box label. The agent response points back to the same terminal evidence: cycle heat, scenario bands, accountability logs, and thesis changes.

CryptoWatch dashboard overview with BTC cycle verdict panels

Macro overview

Composite regime, BTC reference, risk posture, and the current action read in one scan.

CryptoWatch halving heat and cycle phase dashboard

Cycle heat

Phase context with historical base rates and whether today's setup is early, mid, late, or overheated.

CryptoWatch realized-price DCA allocation ladder

DCA plan

Realized-price allocation zones with explicit triggers, invalidation, and historical policy comparison.

Illustrative product snapshots — values shown in these images are not live.

Moat

The hard part is not access. It is judgment.

CryptoWatch's advantage is the synthesis layer: cycle history, macro permission, market stress, on-chain behavior, and accountability in one operating model. The agent gets a call it can defend instead of a loose pile of charts.

VerdictDirectional read with confidence, bias, and regime state.
EvidenceReceipts for the metrics that actually moved the read.
InvalidationThe price, metric, or event that kills the thesis.
MemoryCalls can be scored later, not forgotten tomorrow.

Early access

Build agents that know when not to trade.

CryptoWatch for agents is a free hosted MCP server protected by a single API key and rate limits. The dashboard remains the human control room; agent access is the machine lane.

Read methodology