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BTC Cycle Phase
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BTC Cycle Phase · 4-Year Halving Framework
Capitulation Accumulation Markup Distribution
— / 100
Zero-FP Bottom Confluence · Tier 1
— of 4 triggered
Research: when all 4 fire together, zero false positives across 3 backtested cycles (2015, 2018, 2022). 3 of 4 → accumulate aggressively. 4 of 4 → maximum conviction.
Tier 2 · Confirming Signals
Cross-Asset Bottom Signals drawdown · weekly RSI · 200W MA zone
Post-Halving Cycle Regime
BTC Market Heat Thermometer
CapitulationCoolNeutralWarmOverheat
Sentiment
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