CW Macro

Track Record

Every prediction. Every outcome. Full methodology.

Daily prediction outcomes shown below. Looking for Desk setup pins? View Desk Setups →

NEUTRAL is a signal, not a failure.
The framework issues a directional verdict only when its 4 layers agree. When they conflict, it stays NEUTRAL — meaning "don't take a directional bet this week." NEUTRAL outcomes are graded as correctly held, not failed. The hit rate below counts only resolved directional calls (BUY/SELL).
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Total predictions
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Directional hit rate
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Correct directional
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Pending (< 7 days)
DateVerdictScoreBTC at CallBTC +7dChangeOutcome

How outcomes are scored

Every prediction is logged at issue-time and graded 7 days later. A directional call (BUY / SELL) is correct if BTC moved in the predicted direction by ≥1%. Moves under 1% are inconclusive. NEUTRAL calls are graded separately — by design, NEUTRAL means "the layers conflict, don't bet" — and a flat or sideways week confirms the framework's read. The 7-day horizon matches the cycle intelligence timeframe. Full methodology.