Public Model Report Card

Brier Score

Real-time calibration for Cryptowatch forecasts. Lower Brier is better; the reliability curve shows whether stated probabilities match what actually happened.

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Calibration Curve

Predicted probability vs observed outcome

Model Brier Leaderboard

Anonymized public labels

Model Changelog

Public aliases by active window

Failure Decomposition

Resolved miss classes, no private IDs

Asset And Regime Cuts

Where calibration is strongest or weakest

By Asset

By Regime